尹洪超
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国际原油价格预测的双层随机整数规划模型、算法及应用
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Indexed by:期刊论文

Date of Publication:2015-09-15

Journal:运筹学学报

Included Journals:PKU、ISTIC、CSCD

Volume:19

Issue:3

Page Number:18-25

ISSN No.:1007-6093

Key Words:随机整数规划;原油价格预测;离散优化算法

Abstract:根据国际原油价格近期数据及原油价格变化量,给出了国际原油价格改变量的状态转移概率(或频率)矩阵.依此提出以国际原油价格预测误差的期望与方差最小为最优目标,建立国际原油价格预测的双层随机整数规划,并论述该优化问题最优解的存在性,根据约束特性构造了优化算法.同时按照国内现行成品油定价机制,提出的优化算法,对国内成品油调价进行了预测,实证分析表明提出的模型与优化算法具有一定的预测精度和较好的实用性.

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Supervisor of Master's Candidates

Gender:Male

Alma Mater:大连理工大学

Degree:Doctoral Degree

School/Department:能源与动力学院

Discipline:Thermal Engineering. Chemical Engineering. Operation Research and Control Theory

Business Address:大连理工大学能源与动力学院712室

Contact Information:电话:13940865971 邮箱:hcyin@dlut.edu.cn

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