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基于正态变换的贷款组合定价模型构建及实证

Release Time:2019-03-10  Hits:

Indexed by: Journal Article

Date of Publication: 2014-08-25

Journal: 技术经济

Included Journals: ISTIC、PKU

Volume: 33

Issue: 8

Page Number: 106-114

ISSN: 1002-980X

Key Words: 贷款定价;贷款组合;信用风险;商业银行

Abstract: 通过Box-Cox正态变换将资产价值的实际数据转换为服从标准正态分布的数据,据此测算贷款企业的联合违约概率和贷款组合信用风险溢价,进而构建贷款组合定价模型.以6家上市企业为样本,对上述贷款组合定价过程进行实证研究.结果表明:利用资产价值的原始数据测算联合违约概率会低估贷款组合的违约风险,从而加大商业银行遭受重大损失的可能性.

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