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个人信息Personal Information
教授
博士生导师
硕士生导师
性别：男
毕业院校：日本埼玉大学
学位：博士
所在单位：能源与动力学院
学科：能源与环境工程
办公地点：大连理工大学西部校区能动大楼820室
联系方式：0411-84708095
电子邮箱：hailinmu@dlut.edu.cn
Analysis and Prediction of China's Energy Consumption Based on LMDI Method
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论文类型：会议论文
发表时间：2009-04-24
收录刊物：EI、CPCI-S、Scopus
卷号：2
页面范围：429-433
摘要：China is now experiencing rapid development and has become the second largest energy consumer China has presented the objectives of building a well off society in an all round way at the 16th National Congress of the Communist Party of China in 2002. Without question, the future society, with higher level of modernization and standard of living, will consume more energy. In this paper the LMDI (Log-Mean Divisia Index) method is used to analyze the nature of the factors that influence energy consumption during the period 1980-2006. Another contribution of this paper is to develop a forecasting model (LMDIED) based on the LMDI method, in which the effects from each factor can be displayed.