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论文类型：会议论文

发表时间：2012-01-01

收录刊物：CPCI-S、Scopus

卷号：1479

期号：1

页面范围：2110-2113

关键字：Bounded-but-unknown uncertainty; Non-probabilistic reliability; Probability; Optimization

摘要：When the amount of information available on uncertain parameters is not enough to accurately define the probability distribution functions and only bounds of the uncertain parameters are available, non-probabilistic reliability are recently used. Interval variables and convex model are usually used to quantify the bounded-but-unknown uncertainty and the corresponding models of non-probabilistic reliability measure and design optimization are brought forward. Furthermore, probabilistic reliability theory can also be utilized by assuming the bounded-but-unknown variables as uniform random variables based on the principle of maximum entropy. In this paper, these three models of design optimization with bounded-but-unknown uncertainty are discussed and compared. It is pointed out that non-probabilistic interval model is too conservative and the probabilistic model is a rational alternative.