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发表时间：2019-07-01

论文类型：期刊论文

发表时间：2019-03-01

发表刊物：JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION

收录刊物：EI、SCIE、SSCI

卷号：212

页面范围：1072-1085

ISSN号：0959-6526

关键字：Energy efficiency estimation models; Industrial energy efficiency; Nonlinear modeling method

摘要：With the increasing pressures from the energy price and environmental protection, large-scale chemical plants pay more attention to the implementation of energy efficiency estimation to improve its economic benefit and environmental performance. Because of the stochastic and dynamic characteristics of the actual data, traditional estimation methods fail to satisfy the requirement of real-time evaluation. To cope with this limitation, a novel energy efficiency estimation method combining just-in-time (JIT) learning and subspace model identification (SMI) with noise elimination, called e-JITSMI method, is proposed. First, the state space model is constructed to describe the dynamic performance of production processes. This integration method can select the appropriate sampling data, estimate noise effect, and build the corresponding dynamic model. With the built model, not only are the relationships between production and supplied energy built, but the energy efficiency tendency is also predicted at the next moment. In addition, with the arrival of the new sampling data, the dynamic evaluation model is automatically updated. The effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed method are demonstrated through a practical large-scale chemical process. The results present the average accuracy of energy efficiency prediction can reach 88.9% and the tendency of energy efficiency is 100% correct even if the working conditions change. (C) 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.