张弛

个人信息Personal Information

教授

博士生导师

硕士生导师

任职 : 大连理工大学副校长、党委常委

性别:男

毕业院校:大连理工大学

学位:博士

所在单位:建设工程学院

学科:水文学及水资源

办公地点:综合实验4号楼 411室

联系方式:0411-84708900

电子邮箱:czhang@dlut.edu.cn

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Quantifying the relative contribution of climate and human impacts on seasonal streamflow

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论文类型:期刊论文

发表时间:2019-07-01

发表刊物:JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

收录刊物:SCIE、EI

卷号:574

页面范围:936-945

ISSN号:0022-1694

关键字:Climate change; Human activities; Streamflow; Budyko-type equation; Abcd model; Reservoir operation

摘要:Climate change and human activities have induced alterations to hydrological processes. The quantification of their impacts on streamflow is a challenge, especially at the seasonal scale due to seasonality of climate variables and human activities. In this study, the decomposition method based on Budyko equation is extended to the seasonal scale for quantifying the climate and direct human impacts on annual and seasonal streamflow changes in Huifa River basin by defining prechange period (1953-1974) and postchange period (1975-2005). The results are further verified by the monthly abcd model. Both climate change and direct human activities are found to induce a decrease in streamflow at the annual scale, with 68% of the change contributed by direct human activities. At the seasonal scale, the direct human-induced declines in streamflow account for 67% and 39% of the total changes for energy-limited and water-limited seasons, respectively; whereas, the impact of direct human activities is more pronounced during the irrigation season due to water withdrawal for irrigation. In addition, the decomposition results are analyzed for each month in the energy-limited season to reveal the effects of precipitation and operation rules of ponds and reservoirs during the flood season.