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发表时间： 2016-01-01

发表刊物： 运筹与管理

所属单位： 经济管理学院

期号： 2

页面范围： 180-189

ISSN号： 1007-3221

摘要： This paper applies the economic data of two provinces and one city in the national regional typical planning-Yangtze River Delta regional planning to build a model of fixed effect and variable intercept regression in different time window;contrasted by the changes of regression coefficient in different time window, it obtains policy effect of national regional planning.The innovate and character is that: First , it obtains the increment changes size of effect variable which results in the unit policy by the slope coefficient changes of variable inter-cept regression model in different time window of all three provinces.Second, contrasted by the regression equa-tion intercept changes of planning pre and post , all three provinces and different time window, it gains the in-creased size of effect variable amount.The innovate changes the status that current research has gained the evalu-ation result only by the comparison of different region transverse data; it has no comparability because of the differences of objective base and condition in different region in fact.The third, in different provinces, compared to the sorting size changes of the pre-and-post planning for effect regression function’ s intercept , it discriminates the changes of development balance level.The main conclusions are that:Firstly, the variation of the unit input of central fixed assets investment to urban and rural residents increases evidently in planning region; It is no more notable because of the increased economic development level and the decreased variation of the unit input of central subsidy income to the disposable income of urban and rural residents.Secondly, the effect function value of disposable income per capitals for urban and rural residents in planning region increase evidently.Thirdly, the gap of spontaneous income of disposable income per capitais among every provinces for Yangtze River Delta regional planning level is reduced.

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