郭成

个人信息Personal Information

教授

博士生导师

硕士生导师

主要任职:软件学院、大连理工大学-立命馆大学国际信息与软件学院副院长

性别:男

毕业院校:大连理工大学

学位:博士

所在单位:软件学院、国际信息与软件学院

学科:软件工程. 计算机应用技术

联系方式:guocheng@dlut.edu.cn

电子邮箱:guocheng@dlut.edu.cn

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A new prediction model of infectious diseases with vaccination strategies based on evolutionary game theory

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论文类型:期刊论文

发表时间:2017-11-01

发表刊物:CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS

收录刊物:SCIE、EI、Scopus

卷号:104

页面范围:51-60

ISSN号:0960-0779

关键字:Evolutionary game theory; Vaccination strategy; Complex networks; Infectious disease model; SIRS

摘要:Infectious diseases have proven to be remarkably resilient foes of human health and so the prevention and control of infectious diseases have been attracting the attention of all countries over the world. Vaccination is an effective way to prevent the spread of infectious diseases. However, vaccination is a long-standing social dilemmas due to the vaccine's risk by itself and the spread of infectious diseases in the population depends on not only the pathogen itself, but also the impact of social network structures. In this paper, we propose a new prediction model of infectious diseases with new vaccination strategies based on network structures and dynamic replicator. In our model, we consider not only the subsidies of vaccine failure but also the incentive strategy for medical treatment to promote individuals to take the initiative to vaccinate. At the same time, in decision-making phase, we use weighted average benefits of all participants to update their strategies due to individual difference. Simulation experiments show that the our proposed model is much effective and better than other existing models. We also use Jacobian matrix to prove the stability of dynamic equilibrium for our proposed model. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.