张弛

个人信息Personal Information

教授

博士生导师

硕士生导师

任职 : 副校长、党委常委

性别:男

毕业院校:大连理工大学

学位:博士

所在单位:建设工程学院

学科:水文学及水资源. 人工智能. 计算机应用技术. 软件工程

办公地点:综合实验4号楼 411室

联系方式:0411-84708900

电子邮箱:czhang@dlut.edu.cn

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Balancing competing interests in the Mekong River Basin via the operation of cascade hydropower reservoirs in China: Insights from system modeling

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论文类型:期刊论文

发表时间:2020-05-01

发表刊物:JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION

收录刊物:EI、SCIE

卷号:254

ISSN号:0959-6526

关键字:Water-energy-ecosystem nexus; Cascade reservoirs; Hydropower production; Water supply; International river; Mekong river basin

摘要:As one of the most important international rivers in Asia, the Mekong River is famous for its abundant water and hydropower resources, fascinating biodiversity, and geopolitical importance. However, the rapid hydropower development in the Mekong River Basin has induced ecological risks and triggered water conflicts among six riparian nations. Balancing the competing interests of water, energy and ecosystems in the Mekong River Basin is a great challenge for riparian nations and is of global concern. This study quantitatively investigates what role the operation of the cascade reservoirs in China may play in mitigating existing conflicts and achieving cobenefits in the entire Mekong River Basin. An integrated modeling approach is adopted, and simulation-optimization analyses are performed to explore the tradeoff and/or synergy effects among the competing interests under varying reservoir operation strategies. The study reveals the disparate interactions among water, energy and ecosystem sectors and identifies the transboundary cobenefits of hydropower production and water supply. The major study findings are as follows. First, hydropower development in the upper Mekong River (also known as the Lancang River) can be beneficial for downstream agricultural water supply in certain circumstances if the cascade reservoirs in China are operated wisely. Second, the natural flow index adequately reflects ecological concerns in general, but additional objectives need to be included in the optimization if specific interests (e.g., phosphorous export from the Lancang River) are prioritized. Third, the tradeoffs between the agricultural water supply and ecosystem conservation, the two critical concerns of downstream countries, are intrinsic in the lower Mekong River Basin and are not induced by hydropower production in China. Fourth, the agricultural water supply in the downstream countries calls for a larger shift in the flow regime than hydropower production in China. Overall, the results of this study provide new insights into holistic management and effective transboundary cooperation in the Mekong River Basin, as well as in other international river basins with similar water-energy-ecosystem nexuses. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.