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论文类型：期刊论文

发表时间：2011-09-15

发表刊物：EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS

收录刊物：Scopus、SCIE、EI

卷号：38

期号：10

页面范围：13360-13366

ISSN号：0957-4174

关键字：D-S evidence theory; Combination rule; Reliability; Cross merging; Decision making

摘要：Recent studies on the combination rule of D-S evidence theory can be summarized as two categories, i.e. the methods based on modification for Dempster rule, and the methods based on correction to original evidence sources. However, both of them fail to deal with the role of cardinality of focal elements in process of combination, leading generally to the imperfect final results which are hard to show the inherent differences between different bodies of evidence. In this paper, we propose a combination rule based on the strategy of cross merging between evidences, a newly developed methodology which can better reflect the focusing degree of focal elements between bodies of evidence, and make final combination results more succinct, reasonable and valid. Throughout the process of combination, such global information as reliability, focusing weights, and expected support of evidences is thoroughly taken into account. In addition, an effort is made to allocate evidential conflict in proportion only among combination propositions in order to refine combination results and reduce their decision range. A numerical example and its modified version demonstrate that the presented approach has good adaptability to the evidences in accord or with high conflict, and significantly outperforms other combination methods of a similar kind. Crown Copyright (C) 2011 Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.