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个人信息Personal Information
教授
博士生导师
硕士生导师
性别：男
毕业院校：大连理工大学
学位：博士
所在单位：水利工程系
学科：水文学及水资源. 水利水电工程. 电力系统及其自动化. 计算机应用技术
联系方式：ctcheng@dlut.edu.cn
电子邮箱：ctcheng@dlut.edu.cn
Long-term prediction of discharges in Manwan Hydropower using adaptive-network-based fuzzy inference systems models
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论文类型：会议论文
发表时间：2005-08-27
收录刊物：EI
卷号：3612
期号：PART III
页面范围：1152-1161
摘要：Forecasting reservoir inflow is important to hydropower reservoir management and scheduling. An Adaptive-Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) is successfully developed to forecast the long-term discharges in Manwan Hydropower. Using the long-term observations of discharges of monthly river flow discharges during 1953-2003, different types of membership functions and antecedent input flows associated with ANFIS model are tested. When compared to the ANN model, the ANFIS model has shown a significant forecast improvement. The training and validation results show that the ANFIS model is an effective algorithm to forecast the long-term discharges in Manwan Hydropower. The ANFIS model is finally employed in the advanced water resource project of Yunnan Power Group. © Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2005.